Palavras-chave
Desenvolvimento sustentável
Áreas rurais
Agricultura resiliente ao clima
Estratégias de adaptação
Resiliência
Como Citar
Resumo
Objetivo: Este estudo desenvolve e aplica um framework de Climate Risk Intelligence (CRI) que conecta a teoria da inteligência competitiva com a governança climática e o desenvolvimento rural, a fim de fortalecer a capacidade adaptativa dos territórios rurais. Os riscos climáticos estão aumentando nos territórios rurais, comprometendo a segurança alimentar e o desenvolvimento sustentável de mais de 3,4 bilhões de pessoas em todo o mundo; entretanto, os frameworks existentes não abordam a adaptação climática como um problema de inteligência estratégica.
Metodologia/abordagem: A pesquisa aplica uma metodologia integrada que combina análise sistemática da literatura (41 fontes, 2018–2024), avaliação de vulnerabilidade espacial, análise de decisão multicritério e modelagem estatística, estruturada em torno da lógica do CRI: Dados Climáticos, Processamento de Inteligência, Adaptação Estratégica e Competitividade Rural Sustentável.
Originalidade/Relevância: A originalidade do estudo reside na introdução do CRI como um constructo de integração entre a teoria da inteligência competitiva, a governança climática e o desenvolvimento rural uma articulação ainda ausente na literatura existente. O estudo propõe o CRI como um constructo de conexão entre esses três campos.
Principais resultados: Os resultados revelam um declínio significativo na produtividade agrícola (25–37% para culturas-chave), confirmam que 60% das famílias rurais enfrentam insegurança alimentar e identificam estratégias híbridas de adaptação baseadas em inteligência combinando conhecimento tradicional com tecnologias modernas como a abordagem mais eficaz para construir competitividade rural sustentável.
Contribuições teóricas/metodológicas: O estudo propõe um framework original de CRI (Climate Intelligence Capability, Rural Adaptive Capacity, Sustainable Competitiveness) que amplia a teoria da inteligência competitiva para o domínio da governança climática territorial.
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